Monday, January 20, 2025

Conference Championships 2024 Season,

For those new to the blog, read similar posts and you will find that I calculate which team is the GOAT by counting NFL, AFL, AFC, NFC and Big Game trophies. This year, as all years at this time, we have four contenders.

If Buffalo wins the Big Game, they will be 8-7, tied with Indianapolis who is currently at 12th. If they lose next week, they will remain in 16th place at 6-7. If they win next week and lose the Big Game, they will be 7-8, again, remaining in 16th place. Miami is 7-5.

If Philly loses next week, they stay at 13th at 8-9. If they win next week and lose the Big Game, they will be 9-9, in 10th place behind Chicago, who is at 9-7. If they win the big game, they will be at 10-8 and tied with Washington, who is currently at 10-7, but will be 10-8 after losing to them. They would share 9th place, dropping Chicago to 11th.

If Washington wins next week, they will be 11-7 for that week only, tied with Denver. If they lose the Big Game, They will be 11-8, retaining 9th position. If they win the Big Game, they will be 12-7, moving to 6th UNLESS Kansas City wins next week. To be 6th, they must beat Buffalo. That would be a three step jump.

If KC loses next week, they will be 11-6, still ahead of Washington if Washington loses either the Big Game or the NFC title game, stuck at 7th. Even if they lose to Philly, they will remain ahead of Philly on the GOAT list. If KC wins the Big Game, they will be 13-5, moving into 4th place and moving Dallas down to 5th (SF 6th, NY 7th or 8th (if they KC beats DC). The top three will remain New England at 17-10, Green Bay at 15-10 and Pittsburgh at 14-10.

There is also a participation trophy list. Next week, KC will be in their 17th appearance, Washington their 18th, Philly their 17th and Buffalo their 14th. If Philly wins and goes to the Big Game against KC, all three will have 18 appearances and will be tied with Denver for 9th place (since they have 18 as well). Minnesota and Cleveland each have 14 appearances and are tie at 15th. If Buffalo advances, they will be tied with Indy with 15 appearances at 14th position, dropping Minnesota and Cleveland to a tie for 16th. Just for perspective, SF and NE each have 27 championship appearances and are tied for 1st, GB has 25 at 3rd and NY, Dallas and Pittsburgh are tied for 4th at 24 appearances. 

New England is not only the current GOAT, but also the Old GOAT. Green Bay would be tied for Old Goat if they win another Big Game before and not to NE. True GOATness takes time.

The final GOAT list will be posted in 3 weeks. Unless Buffalo wins, it will only be the top 10.

Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Blessed Yule 2024!

 It has been a long time since I did a Christmas Letter. This is the first since Moira and I went from being married to being roommates. From what I hear, she and Catie are having a good Christmas. If you know her, you already know why. 

Santa has been good to me this year. I opened a credit monitoring email and found out that my rating is now "Good." How did this happen?  Its a long story, but I will get there at the very end. I have been going to the University of Maryland. Unless you don't want to hear about my intellectual journey, keep reading. If not, just skip to the end.



For the last two years, I have been taking courses at the University of Maryland to test the waters for going back to doctoral school by actually going to graduate school again. In Maryland, if you are retired, over 60, are a resident and have a graduate degree already, you get free tuition, but you have to pay fees. Also, you can bypass using the free readings on the ELMS system and actually buy the books - often on Amazon. I got into the habit of doing that - and of budgeting for paying the fees - and last term, also buying into the meal plan. Maryland has very good food.

Going to school gave me a chance to see if I could still cut the mustard, including taking doctoral level classes. My aim was to study Grid-Group Theory - as if I had followed Aaron Wildavsky back to Berkley after his residency at American during the first time I went to doctoral school, I may never have washed out. I decided to apply to study sociology. The graduate coordinator two years ago, after I inquired about studying GGT, said that no one was working on it. I let him know what my goals were and he said I should just write my book.

I decided to try Organizational Psychology instead. I may yet take a class there, but I found out quickly that OP was mainly about preparing undergrads to work in human resources or doing HR consulting. This had been an option when I was an MPA student at American, where I did graduate before going back for more torture. The tentative plan was to write about a Cultural Theory of (Authoritarian) Capitalism. 

When I started taking classes in spring 2023, an Anthropology of Work class was being offered at both the graduate and undergraduate levels. Perfect fit. I learned how to do an ethnography (on Uber driving and the gig economy) and used Grid-Group as the theoretical framework. The course went well, so I followed it with courses on Sustainable Development and Environmental Anthropology - offered remotely with our Chesapeake Bay Eastern Shore Campus. 

In my environmental class (I had by then decided to write in the area of environmental anthropology) In the latter, I used GGT to explore how to use GGT to understand the dynamics of climate change. It was a small class, so the instructors added papers by McCright and Dunlap on the topic that referenced both. I found that grid-group had gone a bit off the rails - especially as it was now being used as a proxy for political partisanship - which did not sound right, so more investigation was required. The reason the topic of climate change is relevant to me needs little explanation - the Southwest is burning every year - each worse than the last. I anticipate that it will not get any better. 

I also found that I still had the problem of starting papers too late, the paper in question being a Cultural Theory of Climate Change. A year ago, news kept piling up - so I kept looking rather than writing. This does not work well in doctoral school. I got a B+ on the paper and it was panic inducing, but I am reworking it for publication in an Environmental Sociology journal (the professor was a sociologist, not an anthropologist). I was already exploring doing sociology, but there were undergraduate course requirements t meet to apply. 

With free tuition and nothing but time, I started taking undergrad sociology courses. The course descriptions looked a bit more like what I wanted to write about, so I switched majors. The important lesson was that I needed to take another year to decide whether to apply in either sociology or anthropology, and on whether I could handle the workload better than in the 1990s. I even took a math class in advance of taking a statistics refresher. I was told by the stats prof to do the graduate level course instead, given my previous experience doing that work. 

Because my Climate Change paper was just sitting on my bedroom chair, I decided to take the Sociology writing course this past term, rather than starting to take stats instead - as at UMD you can only transfer 9 credit hours to a full-time program - and because the stats course was four hours, it was one hour more than I was given for free. It would have been an easy A. 

Before going to UMD, I had been attending the YouTube theological seminary, climate academy and personality typing course. This is where I was radicalized to study climate change in more depth. Also, in looking at cognitive theory, which is based on Carl Gustav Jung's system and is a step up from MBTI, the confluence of this theory and GGT was looking interesting. This led me to look at Sociological Social Psychology as a career path.

So, this semester, I took the doctoral course in this subject as well as Conduct of Inquiry - both at the doctoral level and both using GGT as the core concept. The social psych course was key to my program, since the new grad program director was also the professor in this area. If he did not like my approach, my career as a sociologist was done. He did not like my approach. More importantly, I have given doctoral school a full test. I like sociology, but it does not like me back. More importantly, Jeff Cohen was right - and Long Doan agrees - I should just write my book.

The paper was pretty good, but I did not prove to him how GGT would be useful to the discipline. As it were, I gave it the old college try. I also learned what had happened with the practice of Grid-Group Theory. As I had been told by others who had Wildavsky for doctoral school, most of the work was now being done in political science (been there, done that) at the Northern Illinois University. Anthropology was not doing it either. My recent research led nowhere else. 

This does not mean I will stop studying GGT and singing its praises, but it does mean that I am noting going to apply to a full-time program to study it further. I am not quitting school altogether, as having a University affiliation gives me access to free copies of journal articles, plus the kind of email address that shows I am either a professor or graduate student (I am still the latter), and this opens doors when trying to get published. They never told us how publish at American (or at least they never told me), but now I have a pretty good idea. I can also try to get a National Science Foundation grant to pay for doing research and eat well without getting a fellowship instead.  As a professional proposal coordinator in another life, I do know how to do that.

As long as I take a course by next Fall, my status as a Golden ID scholar is good through Fall of 2027. There is a course in organizational psychology that looks interesting - and maybe that stats course. Going to school is a great way to get a handle on research topics and data sources. Oh yes, I also have access to statistical software and the computation storage space to hold large datasets.

I had been primed to apply the Anthropology doctoral program. However, the feel of overwhelm in doing that level of work is still there - and my own cognitive personality structure favors organizing knowledge and data rather than doing a deep dive into the group intuitional exercise of academic science. I cast a wide net instead. 

So, for the third time, I am quitting doctoral school (the second was at Phoenix, which was part of the reason I am no longer married). There is nothing more freeing that quitting a doctoral program. Indeed, most people who start one do just that. I may apply to Phoenix again if I want the vanity degree in Management, but only if I can pay cash for it. Having had my student loans forgiven once, due to disability, I cannot do it again.

You have to have gone to graduate school to know how much being done frees up your schedule, especially at the doctoral level. Also, I am still studying the nexus between cultural theory an Jungian personality theory (the latter is still not in the academic realm - so quitting school does not stop my research - or stop me from bringing both GGT and Jungian theory in from the cold - and I have found a community of like minds to keep working).

I need the time, as the long awaited IRS data on the 2022 tax year just dropped in the last month and I have spent the week between the end of the term working with it. It is now time to start a new edition of  my national debt book, as well as doing final edits on my recovery book rewrite, that article on global warming (the problem is not going away) as well as reworking my book on employee-ownership, which will turn into a series of YouTube videos. Check my channel for what I have already posted - but don't look for the impeachment stuff - I took it down for professional reasons.

Time is a luxury and I have it back. I am also no longer so tempted by YouTube. I had to cut back due to school and I have had my fill, as well as many of my fellow creators. I have been busy doing that to, speaking of burying the lead.

THIS IS WHERE TO SKIP TO.

Having been to school, I have gotten used to paying the fees and a bit for the meal plan. I have had buying a new Queen size bed on my radar for a while (my current bed squeaks) and not only can I afford it, but I tried yet again to apply for a credit card to get it sooner than later. I was denied, but I was able to get a store card from Prime. My bed frame arrived today, as well as the news that I have good credit. Not great, but good. 

The important thing is that, because Prime includes buying from Whole Foods, I no longer have to worry about being hungry during the week before my Social Security check arrives. I have been budgeting for poverty every month. With credit, I no longer have to worry and without being in school, I have developed enough of a margin in my budget to keep the account healthy enough to have great credit.

So, the bottom line is, I am no longer considered poor! I have a place to stay (with subsidies), Medicare Advantage, a decent bed, access to the academic world - with matching computer power - and a credit line that includes buying food.

Christmas dinner is roast duck leg quarter, asparagus and sweet potatoes, served with a side of gratitude for not having papers due at the end of the term - but the practice of doing writing on deadline and so that I can pretend that I do without the risk of a manic episode. I also have time (and now wardrobe) to go to the Hill and talk with committee staff about tax policy, rather than simply sending in comments for the record (available on Amazon, YouTube and fiscalequity.blogspot.com). Looking forward to 2025! Because someone has to.

Merry Christmas! 

Sunday, December 08, 2024

Keep SMU in the playoffs


Leaving Alabama out is easy. If you need an additional SEC body in the playoffs (don't touch Tennessee, they beat Bama), take a B1G team out. Ohio State lost to Michigan and got ugly at the end. Punish them. Or take out Indiana.

Thursday, August 15, 2024

The Olympics, Empires and the NCAA. Title IX won the games.

The Paris Olympic games are over, although the Para-Olympics are right around the corner. I spent much of the last few weeks watching Olympic Prime Time. Congratulations to Mike Tirico, Snoop and the NBC crew for bring us a wonderful experience. Jim McKay would have been touched by the moments you highlighted. Good Job!

Two consistent themes were mentioned during both the swimming and track events: the medal count and the the university affiliations of many of the athletes on both Team USA and international athletes. I took the bait and looked deeper into these counts, having spent my life working with numbers for the government as a civil servant and a contractor. For your edification and enjoyment, I have prepared a few tables on each topic.

The first two tables show the medal counts based on political groupings - to highlight what the medal count would be if the African and European Unions fielded teams rather than having their member states do so. There is no surprise that the statistics are skewed toward the EU. 


African Union members were counted there, rather than in BRICS or the Commonwealth. Between being part of the unified military, and economic block or giving consent to changes in the British monarchy, I chose the military alliance.

Non-aligned nations are in South Asia and Middle East and in South America - places where some form of federal government would benefit the people by putting elites against each other.

This breakout is similar to national comparisons regarding educational statistics that put the United States in a low position, to the alarm of those who dislike public education, rather than either disaggregating the U.S. into its 50 separate state educational systems or considering Europe as a single system the way the world looks at the U.S. Perhaps the U.S. needs a more regional form of government with each region having its own Olympic Team. A great many worthy athletes are not allowed to compete - but I will circle back to that point in a bit.

This is a look at the medal count in terms of regional games in the "off years." It provides a bit more visibility as to where the non-aligned teams are from.












The next slice of the data considers all of the NCAA in terms of nations, schools and  - what I am surprised no one has yet published - Athletic Conferences!  These data are based on a listing of medal winners published on the NCAA web page.

Note that I counted individual athletes rather than medals held by teams - so team participants are each counted as getting a medal.

Note that four of France's medals are from UT. Hook horns, baby!















So, a lot of the European Union and Commonwealth medals from that first table are really NCAA medals. 


Note that from this chart, most of the Texas gold medals by NCAA athletes were earned for France. Vive le France, Cheri! 

Schools with less than 5 medals were not listed here, but there were plenty of them. To catch those in a total, it is best to look by conference. Again, I am shocked that this chart has not come out yet (although my not seeing it does not mean it has not been done). This table is, of course, ranked by conference and total medals. 

The ACC and SEC are tied at 77 total, with the B1G a close third at 77. The SEC wins the gold medal count. The Power 4 conferences have 262 of the 328 medals awarded to students and alumni (although the Big 12 was way behind with 27 total - closer to the Ivy League than the top 3).




















After finishing these tables, I realized that I did nothing to identify which sports each conference was strong in. I am a social scientist, not a sports reporter. You can look at the NCAA web page and do your own research on which conference is strong in which type of sport (team, swimming, track and other).

A few days ago, I was browsing YouTube and came across a story about how climate change will affect the Olympic movement. The comment was made that most of the world will be priced out of competing due to the lack of climate protected facilities. The comment I made is based on these tables. It was that having advanced training facilities in the US is already the case for success, with the exception of the Chinese teams. 

As warming increases, even more of the training of Olympic athletes will be in the United States. The Olympic movement has become entertainment of the American sports viewing public, with elite athletes sponsored by American capitalism.

A huge chunk of the medals from Paris were the product of training in the member schools of the NCAA, especially in Europe and the Commonwealth. If anyone doubts the impact of Title IX, they should not after looking at these tables. 

The NCAA is now the bulwark against all sport being a wholly owned venture of the capitalist system (at least to the extent that the University system is not dominated by capitalism - although the argument can be made that it always has been). Again, 262 of the 328 NCAA medals are from Power 4 conferences.

Friday, March 22, 2024

About Astrology

The gravitic effects of planets on the solar wind, their effect on the magnetosphere, its resonance in the ionosphere and how that effects human affect exist regardless of personal belief. 

Pagan legends did not create astrology. There are no pagan gods. It is the other way around. The gods were created based on how planets influence personality. The fun part is that the Canaanite gods, which were the template for the Jewish God and Greek gods (El/Kronos and Zeus/YHWH), as well as the related myths and scriptures, evolved from these observations. Greek and Medieval philosophy (Aristotelian, Stoic, Thomist) adjusted the myths, but did not reject astrology. 

While it would be easy to ignore the data as outside of science, that would be based on values, not reason.

Even Santa bares examination. The Santa myth is the fusion of the legend of St. Nicholas, who provided doweries so poor couples could marry and the Old God - or Holly King - whose passing at the Winter Solstice is based on both astronomy and a festival used to cope with seasonal affective (mood) disorders. Are you some kind of Scientologist who believes psychiatry is a scam?

The reason alcoholism has such prevalence is as a cure for these reactions, which is why AA has extra meetings in December.

Monday, February 12, 2024

2023 GOAT list

The new top ten trophy list of Big Game, NFC, AFL, AFC, & NFL wins.

Congrats to KC for winning the Big Game and moving up from 9th to 7th!



Sunday, January 28, 2024

Setting up for the Big Game and looking at the also rans

In the world of participation trophies, where showing up is as important as winning, there has been movement in the GOAT list.

SAN FRANCISCO WILL BE TIED WITH NEW ENGLAND FOR THE MOST TOTAL CHAMPIONSHIP APPEARANCES THE MOMENT THEY STEP ON THE FIELD IN TWO WEEKS.  

This is a very interesting stat and it is all due to their quarterback, who made side arm passing a thing. He is worthy of his endorsement deal. He is already on the GOAT list with Starr, Favre, Rogers, Montana, Bradshaw, Roethlisberger, Staubach, Romo, Aikman, Young, Manning (both) and Elway for the impact they have had on their team's rise on this listing. Full disclosure, I have also been a long time State Farm policy holder - when I have something to insure.

Green Bay is edged down to third and the tie for fourth place (24 appearances) now has one less member because of San Francisco's victory.

San Francisco has also moved up from 6th to 5th in the championship trophy race, adding a 13th trophy, swapping places with New York on the Trophy GOAT list. If they win next week, they will replace Dallas at #4 GOAT. If they lose, they will stay in 5th place.

Kansas City, by stepping on the field next week, will have 16 Championship appearances. This ties them for 11th place all-time with Chicago and Philadelphia. They had been tied with Minnesota and Cleveland who have 14 and they pushed Indianapolis down to 14th place.

On the all time GOAT list, KC has switched places with Washington, going from #9 to #8 (although, overall, Washington is still in the top 10 GOAT list. They just need to remember that they were once good.

If your idea of GOAT is percentage of championship games won (both conference and league), Kansas City and Tampa Bay are at the top, with KC doing so with many more trophies. So if percentages are more important than trophies, KC is already the GOAT (unless they lose next week).

If KC wins, they will switch places with Denver. Both will have eleven trophies, but KC will have the fewest losses between the two. A two position jump is nothing to sneeze at.

It has been a long march for KC to get to where they are in GOAT list, just as it took a long time for New England, Pittsburgh and Dallas to get there. Green Bay was born there (although there were no title games in the first seasons, which is why I only credit them with NFL, NFC and Big Game trophies). Before the trophies, they were essentially division champions. We have 8 such winners each year in the modern day. Not so big a deal any more.

Baltimore and Detroit have moved up on the participation trophy list by playing today, but each lost a position by losing the game. Of course, for Baltimore, this does not count the trophies they were forced to leave in Cleveland as well as the ones that Indianapolis took with them when they left in the middle of the night in 1984. With either set of trophies, they would be higher in the GOAT list. They got screwed twice - and they are still ahead of most teams who have been around longer - but what's in a name?

Because they went from 4 wins and 2 losses to 4 and 3, they leave Tampa Bay alone at 17th place while dragging Seattle up to 18th - because math. Having a 4-3 record is not as bad as it used to be. Congrats Seattle on the undeserved win on the GOAT list. To paraphrase the computer in War Games, sometimes the only way to win is not to play.

There is less to talk about after Game Day. There always is because fewer balls are in the air. I will simply congratulate the winner and post the new final list for the year.

 

Congratulations to Michigan for winning it all this year

Who came in number two? No one ever remembers, but its Washington. And with that the PAC12 exits the stage.