Monday, February 24, 2025

What if a galactic civilization already exists? When will they invite Ea...


If there is a galactic civilization, the ability to travel at "warp speed" is not the criterion. Once contact is made, schools can be set up on Earth or our best and brightest can travel to existing schools. The science and engineering will already exist and the planet will benefit from it.

So, what's the holdup? We are not a civilized species. Eating meat might be a thing, but a bigger thing is that we, as individuals and collectively, believe in sin and the need to punish it. In other words, we are not housebroken. The kind of freedom of choice we have - the freedom to judge the choices of others - needs to be abandoned. If it is not, Earth will continue to be a backwater.

The necessary science for mankind to move forward is social science. The galaxy has the rest of it covered. Rumor has it that they also have a more open dialogue with the Creator, so atheism is not the answer either. Sorry, Dawkins - but you are helping hold things up.

Monday, February 10, 2025

The Eagles move back to the top 10.

Philly now has ten wins and eight losses in championship games (including conference and old league trophies). This ties them with Washington. They are also tied for ninth for total championship appearances, with 18. This tie includes Washington, Kansas City, and Denver. 

The highest Philly has been is number three in the 1949, 1950 and 1951 era - behind Chicago and Green Bay. Kansas City is 12 and 6, putting them sixth on the GOAT list.  In 1969 they were third. There is a reason the AFC trophy is named for Lamar Hunt, 

The Commanders had a long stint at number 3 in the early part of the millennium. Something tells me that they were left hungry this year (had they not played, they would have been 10 and 7, ranking lower in total appearances but better in trophy standings). The Rams and Bills also have something to prove, with the latter having quite a slog ahead of them to get into the top 10. (The Rams were #10 in 2021).

The game callers noted that only Green Bay has three straight championships. Actually, if you look at trophies - they have five straight (3 NFL, 2 Super Bowl). So do the Chiefs. If they had won, they would have had six in a three year period.

These GOATS are old.


Thursday, January 23, 2025

The World According to Briggs according to Bindner

Brigg's channel had two videos in the last week. One was a 20 states to avoid at 

https://youtu.be/JJoNFVezmjA?si=R3oqOz9NIkpIS2b8. The other was 15 states people are moving to. The states on both lists are highlighted in yellow.

20: Kansas

19: Nevada

18: Mississippi

17. Alaska

16. West Virginia

15. Louisiana

14. Oklahoma

13. Kentucky

12. Arkansas

11. Alabama

10. Georgia

9. Arizona

8. Missouri

7. Indiana

6. South Carolina

5. Michigan

4. Florida

3. California

2. Texas

1. New York

All but two of these were red states (18).

Today, the top 15 states to move to were featured at

https://youtu.be/QieP1FOd69Y?si=5YToI0ycgKcRUTb5

Here is the list (duplicates in yellow):

15. Montana

14. Texas

13. North Carolina

12. Colorado

11. Nevada

10. Wyoming

9. Oklahoma

8. Vermont

7. Georgia

6. South Carolina

5. Idaho

4. Maine 

3. Arizona

2. Tennessee

1. Florida

Two were blue, one purple, the rest were red (5).

This leaves 22 states that are not on either list. That list deserves its own video, as these are the states that no one is either moving to nor needs to leave. Sounds like heaven. In alphabetical order:

Connecticut

Delaware

Hawai'i

Illinois

Iowa

Maryland

Massachusetts

Minnesota

Nebraska

New Hampshire

New Jersey

New Mexico

North Dakota

Ohio

Oregon

Pennsylvania

Rhode Island

South Dakota

Utah

Virginia

Washington

Wisconsin

A nice list of nice places with nice people.  Seven red, one purple, 14 blue. Interesting.

Monday, January 20, 2025

Conference Championships 2024 Season,

For those new to the blog, read similar posts and you will find that I calculate which team is the GOAT by counting NFL, AFL, AFC, NFC and Big Game trophies. This year, as all years at this time, we have four contenders.

If Buffalo wins the Big Game, they will be 8-7, tied with Indianapolis who is currently at 12th. If they lose next week, they will remain in 16th place at 6-7. If they win next week and lose the Big Game, they will be 7-8, again, remaining in 16th place. Miami is 7-5.

If Philly loses next week, they stay at 13th at 8-9. If they win next week and lose the Big Game, they will be 9-9, in 10th place behind Chicago, who is at 9-7. If they win the big game, they will be at 10-8 and tied with Washington, who is currently at 10-7, but will be 10-8 after losing to them. They would share 9th place, dropping Chicago to 11th.

If Washington wins next week, they will be 11-7 for that week only, tied with Denver. If they lose the Big Game, They will be 11-8, retaining 9th position. If they win the Big Game, they will be 12-7, moving to 6th UNLESS Kansas City wins next week. To be 6th, they must beat Buffalo. That would be a three step jump.

If KC loses next week, they will be 11-6, still ahead of Washington if Washington loses either the Big Game or the NFC title game, stuck at 7th. Even if they lose to Philly, they will remain ahead of Philly on the GOAT list. If KC wins the Big Game, they will be 13-5, moving into 4th place and moving Dallas down to 5th (SF 6th, NY 7th or 8th (if they KC beats DC). The top three will remain New England at 17-10, Green Bay at 15-10 and Pittsburgh at 14-10.

There is also a participation trophy list. Next week, KC will be in their 17th appearance, Washington their 18th, Philly their 17th and Buffalo their 14th. If Philly wins and goes to the Big Game against KC, all three will have 18 appearances and will be tied with Denver for 9th place (since they have 18 as well). Minnesota and Cleveland each have 14 appearances and are tie at 15th. If Buffalo advances, they will be tied with Indy with 15 appearances at 14th position, dropping Minnesota and Cleveland to a tie for 16th. Just for perspective, SF and NE each have 27 championship appearances and are tied for 1st, GB has 25 at 3rd and NY, Dallas and Pittsburgh are tied for 4th at 24 appearances. 

New England is not only the current GOAT, but also the Old GOAT. Green Bay would be tied for Old Goat if they win another Big Game before and not to NE. True GOATness takes time.

The final GOAT list will be posted in 3 weeks. Unless Buffalo wins, it will only be the top 10.

Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Blessed Yule 2024!

 It has been a long time since I did a Christmas Letter. This is the first since Moira and I went from being married to being roommates. From what I hear, she and Catie are having a good Christmas. If you know her, you already know why. 

Santa has been good to me this year. I opened a credit monitoring email and found out that my rating is now "Good." How did this happen?  Its a long story, but I will get there at the very end. I have been going to the University of Maryland. Unless you don't want to hear about my intellectual journey, keep reading. If not, just skip to the end.



For the last two years, I have been taking courses at the University of Maryland to test the waters for going back to doctoral school by actually going to graduate school again. In Maryland, if you are retired, over 60, are a resident and have a graduate degree already, you get free tuition, but you have to pay fees. Also, you can bypass using the free readings on the ELMS system and actually buy the books - often on Amazon. I got into the habit of doing that - and of budgeting for paying the fees - and last term, also buying into the meal plan. Maryland has very good food.

Going to school gave me a chance to see if I could still cut the mustard, including taking doctoral level classes. My aim was to study Grid-Group Theory - as if I had followed Aaron Wildavsky back to Berkley after his residency at American during the first time I went to doctoral school, I may never have washed out. I decided to apply to study sociology. The graduate coordinator two years ago, after I inquired about studying GGT, said that no one was working on it. I let him know what my goals were and he said I should just write my book.

I decided to try Organizational Psychology instead. I may yet take a class there, but I found out quickly that OP was mainly about preparing undergrads to work in human resources or doing HR consulting. This had been an option when I was an MPA student at American, where I did graduate before going back for more torture. The tentative plan was to write about a Cultural Theory of (Authoritarian) Capitalism. 

When I started taking classes in spring 2023, an Anthropology of Work class was being offered at both the graduate and undergraduate levels. Perfect fit. I learned how to do an ethnography (on Uber driving and the gig economy) and used Grid-Group as the theoretical framework. The course went well, so I followed it with courses on Sustainable Development and Environmental Anthropology - offered remotely with our Chesapeake Bay Eastern Shore Campus. 

In my environmental class (I had by then decided to write in the area of environmental anthropology) In the latter, I used GGT to explore how to use GGT to understand the dynamics of climate change. It was a small class, so the instructors added papers by McCright and Dunlap on the topic that referenced both. I found that grid-group had gone a bit off the rails - especially as it was now being used as a proxy for political partisanship - which did not sound right, so more investigation was required. The reason the topic of climate change is relevant to me needs little explanation - the Southwest is burning every year - each worse than the last. I anticipate that it will not get any better. 

I also found that I still had the problem of starting papers too late, the paper in question being a Cultural Theory of Climate Change. A year ago, news kept piling up - so I kept looking rather than writing. This does not work well in doctoral school. I got a B+ on the paper and it was panic inducing, but I am reworking it for publication in an Environmental Sociology journal (the professor was a sociologist, not an anthropologist). I was already exploring doing sociology, but there were undergraduate course requirements t meet to apply. 

With free tuition and nothing but time, I started taking undergrad sociology courses. The course descriptions looked a bit more like what I wanted to write about, so I switched majors. The important lesson was that I needed to take another year to decide whether to apply in either sociology or anthropology, and on whether I could handle the workload better than in the 1990s. I even took a math class in advance of taking a statistics refresher. I was told by the stats prof to do the graduate level course instead, given my previous experience doing that work. 

Because my Climate Change paper was just sitting on my bedroom chair, I decided to take the Sociology writing course this past term, rather than starting to take stats instead - as at UMD you can only transfer 9 credit hours to a full-time program - and because the stats course was four hours, it was one hour more than I was given for free. It would have been an easy A. 

Before going to UMD, I had been attending the YouTube theological seminary, climate academy and personality typing course. This is where I was radicalized to study climate change in more depth. Also, in looking at cognitive theory, which is based on Carl Gustav Jung's system and is a step up from MBTI, the confluence of this theory and GGT was looking interesting. This led me to look at Sociological Social Psychology as a career path.

So, this semester, I took the doctoral course in this subject as well as Conduct of Inquiry - both at the doctoral level and both using GGT as the core concept. The social psych course was key to my program, since the new grad program director was also the professor in this area. If he did not like my approach, my career as a sociologist was done. He did not like my approach. More importantly, I have given doctoral school a full test. I like sociology, but it does not like me back. More importantly, Jeff Cohen was right - and Long Doan agrees - I should just write my book.

The paper was pretty good, but I did not prove to him how GGT would be useful to the discipline. As it were, I gave it the old college try. I also learned what had happened with the practice of Grid-Group Theory. As I had been told by others who had Wildavsky for doctoral school, most of the work was now being done in political science (been there, done that) at the Northern Illinois University. Anthropology was not doing it either. My recent research led nowhere else. 

This does not mean I will stop studying GGT and singing its praises, but it does mean that I am noting going to apply to a full-time program to study it further. I am not quitting school altogether, as having a University affiliation gives me access to free copies of journal articles, plus the kind of email address that shows I am either a professor or graduate student (I am still the latter), and this opens doors when trying to get published. They never told us how publish at American (or at least they never told me), but now I have a pretty good idea. I can also try to get a National Science Foundation grant to pay for doing research and eat well without getting a fellowship instead.  As a professional proposal coordinator in another life, I do know how to do that.

As long as I take a course by next Fall, my status as a Golden ID scholar is good through Fall of 2027. There is a course in organizational psychology that looks interesting - and maybe that stats course. Going to school is a great way to get a handle on research topics and data sources. Oh yes, I also have access to statistical software and the computation storage space to hold large datasets.

I had been primed to apply the Anthropology doctoral program. However, the feel of overwhelm in doing that level of work is still there - and my own cognitive personality structure favors organizing knowledge and data rather than doing a deep dive into the group intuitional exercise of academic science. I cast a wide net instead. 

So, for the third time, I am quitting doctoral school (the second was at Phoenix, which was part of the reason I am no longer married). There is nothing more freeing that quitting a doctoral program. Indeed, most people who start one do just that. I may apply to Phoenix again if I want the vanity degree in Management, but only if I can pay cash for it. Having had my student loans forgiven once, due to disability, I cannot do it again.

You have to have gone to graduate school to know how much being done frees up your schedule, especially at the doctoral level. Also, I am still studying the nexus between cultural theory an Jungian personality theory (the latter is still not in the academic realm - so quitting school does not stop my research - or stop me from bringing both GGT and Jungian theory in from the cold - and I have found a community of like minds to keep working).

I need the time, as the long awaited IRS data on the 2022 tax year just dropped in the last month and I have spent the week between the end of the term working with it. It is now time to start a new edition of  my national debt book, as well as doing final edits on my recovery book rewrite, that article on global warming (the problem is not going away) as well as reworking my book on employee-ownership, which will turn into a series of YouTube videos. Check my channel for what I have already posted - but don't look for the impeachment stuff - I took it down for professional reasons.

Time is a luxury and I have it back. I am also no longer so tempted by YouTube. I had to cut back due to school and I have had my fill, as well as many of my fellow creators. I have been busy doing that to, speaking of burying the lead.

THIS IS WHERE TO SKIP TO.

Having been to school, I have gotten used to paying the fees and a bit for the meal plan. I have had buying a new Queen size bed on my radar for a while (my current bed squeaks) and not only can I afford it, but I tried yet again to apply for a credit card to get it sooner than later. I was denied, but I was able to get a store card from Prime. My bed frame arrived today, as well as the news that I have good credit. Not great, but good. 

The important thing is that, because Prime includes buying from Whole Foods, I no longer have to worry about being hungry during the week before my Social Security check arrives. I have been budgeting for poverty every month. With credit, I no longer have to worry and without being in school, I have developed enough of a margin in my budget to keep the account healthy enough to have great credit.

So, the bottom line is, I am no longer considered poor! I have a place to stay (with subsidies), Medicare Advantage, a decent bed, access to the academic world - with matching computer power - and a credit line that includes buying food.

Christmas dinner is roast duck leg quarter, asparagus and sweet potatoes, served with a side of gratitude for not having papers due at the end of the term - but the practice of doing writing on deadline and so that I can pretend that I do without the risk of a manic episode. I also have time (and now wardrobe) to go to the Hill and talk with committee staff about tax policy, rather than simply sending in comments for the record (available on Amazon, YouTube and fiscalequity.blogspot.com). Looking forward to 2025! Because someone has to.

Merry Christmas! 

Sunday, December 08, 2024

Keep SMU in the playoffs


Leaving Alabama out is easy. If you need an additional SEC body in the playoffs (don't touch Tennessee, they beat Bama), take a B1G team out. Ohio State lost to Michigan and got ugly at the end. Punish them. Or take out Indiana.

Thursday, August 15, 2024

The Olympics, Empires and the NCAA. Title IX won the games.

The Paris Olympic games are over, although the Para-Olympics are right around the corner. I spent much of the last few weeks watching Olympic Prime Time. Congratulations to Mike Tirico, Snoop and the NBC crew for bring us a wonderful experience. Jim McKay would have been touched by the moments you highlighted. Good Job!

Two consistent themes were mentioned during both the swimming and track events: the medal count and the the university affiliations of many of the athletes on both Team USA and international athletes. I took the bait and looked deeper into these counts, having spent my life working with numbers for the government as a civil servant and a contractor. For your edification and enjoyment, I have prepared a few tables on each topic.

The first two tables show the medal counts based on political groupings - to highlight what the medal count would be if the African and European Unions fielded teams rather than having their member states do so. There is no surprise that the statistics are skewed toward the EU. 


African Union members were counted there, rather than in BRICS or the Commonwealth. Between being part of the unified military, and economic block or giving consent to changes in the British monarchy, I chose the military alliance.

Non-aligned nations are in South Asia and Middle East and in South America - places where some form of federal government would benefit the people by putting elites against each other.

This breakout is similar to national comparisons regarding educational statistics that put the United States in a low position, to the alarm of those who dislike public education, rather than either disaggregating the U.S. into its 50 separate state educational systems or considering Europe as a single system the way the world looks at the U.S. Perhaps the U.S. needs a more regional form of government with each region having its own Olympic Team. A great many worthy athletes are not allowed to compete - but I will circle back to that point in a bit.

This is a look at the medal count in terms of regional games in the "off years." It provides a bit more visibility as to where the non-aligned teams are from.












The next slice of the data considers all of the NCAA in terms of nations, schools and  - what I am surprised no one has yet published - Athletic Conferences!  These data are based on a listing of medal winners published on the NCAA web page.

Note that I counted individual athletes rather than medals held by teams - so team participants are each counted as getting a medal.

Note that four of France's medals are from UT. Hook horns, baby!















So, a lot of the European Union and Commonwealth medals from that first table are really NCAA medals. 


Note that from this chart, most of the Texas gold medals by NCAA athletes were earned for France. Vive le France, Cheri! 

Schools with less than 5 medals were not listed here, but there were plenty of them. To catch those in a total, it is best to look by conference. Again, I am shocked that this chart has not come out yet (although my not seeing it does not mean it has not been done). This table is, of course, ranked by conference and total medals. 

The ACC and SEC are tied at 77 total, with the B1G a close third at 77. The SEC wins the gold medal count. The Power 4 conferences have 262 of the 328 medals awarded to students and alumni (although the Big 12 was way behind with 27 total - closer to the Ivy League than the top 3).




















After finishing these tables, I realized that I did nothing to identify which sports each conference was strong in. I am a social scientist, not a sports reporter. You can look at the NCAA web page and do your own research on which conference is strong in which type of sport (team, swimming, track and other).

A few days ago, I was browsing YouTube and came across a story about how climate change will affect the Olympic movement. The comment was made that most of the world will be priced out of competing due to the lack of climate protected facilities. The comment I made is based on these tables. It was that having advanced training facilities in the US is already the case for success, with the exception of the Chinese teams. 

As warming increases, even more of the training of Olympic athletes will be in the United States. The Olympic movement has become entertainment of the American sports viewing public, with elite athletes sponsored by American capitalism.

A huge chunk of the medals from Paris were the product of training in the member schools of the NCAA, especially in Europe and the Commonwealth. If anyone doubts the impact of Title IX, they should not after looking at these tables. 

The NCAA is now the bulwark against all sport being a wholly owned venture of the capitalist system (at least to the extent that the University system is not dominated by capitalism - although the argument can be made that it always has been). Again, 262 of the 328 NCAA medals are from Power 4 conferences.